AlgoLodgeAlgoLodge

ALGOLODGE · INVESTMENT MODEL

Gold Bug

Systematic trading · Precious metals

Since inception+238,35 %
Year to date+6,13 %
Latest month−0,02 %
Maximum drawdown−50,14 %
Account structureIndividual account
Minimum investmentThe stated minimum starting capital is 18 000 USD. Capital requirements may change as the model develops and as position sizes and risk change. Confirm the current amount before investing.
18 000 USD
Management feeThe ongoing management fee is 2% per year, calculated on account capital. It applies whether the investment makes a profit or a loss.
2 %
Performance feeA performance-based fee of 20% of profits. A High Water Mark means the fee applies only to gains above the previous highest value after fees.
20 %
Annualized volatilityMeasures the historical variation in monthly returns, expressed on an annual basis. Higher volatility indicates greater historical fluctuations, not necessarily higher returns.
35,36 %
SharpeThe Sharpe ratio measures historical risk-adjusted returns. Each monthly model return is adjusted for the corresponding risk-free monthly rate based on US three-month Treasury bills (Federal Reserve TB3MS series). The Sharpe ratio is annualized using √12 and the standard deviation of monthly returns. A higher figure indicates better historical risk-adjusted performance.
0,52
CARORGeometrically annualized return: the constant annual rate which, through compounding, produces the model’s cumulative result over the measurement period.
16,84 %
Correlation with the S&P 500Shows how the model’s monthly returns have moved in relation to the broad S&P 500 price index, excluding dividends, over the same period. Correlation ranges from −1 to +1: −1 indicates opposite movements, 0 no linear correlation and +1 movements in the same direction. Calculated using monthly returns through September 2026.
+0,24

Growth of USD 1,000 – VAMI

2018-12-31 – 2026-09-30
7191,4892,2583,0273,797201820192020202120222023202420252026

VAMI · Initial value USD 1,000 · Monthly compounding

Live trading

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Read our risk information.

Monthly returns

Percent
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFull year
2026+4,52 %−0,09 %−1,14 %−0,28 %−0,35 %+8,27 %−3,13 %−1,32 %−0,02 %———+6,13 %
2025+2,59 %−1,76 %+11,22 %−2,86 %−4,21 %+18,20 %−2,28 %+0,64 %+32,49 %+17,73 %+0,01 %+9,16 %+106,46 %
2024−6,44 %−3,03 %+20,05 %+2,66 %+8,10 %−3,92 %+4,95 %+1,73 %+5,04 %+4,13 %−7,90 %−2,25 %+22,10 %
2023+0,78 %−8,25 %+4,19 %−0,52 %−0,77 %−1,32 %−1,41 %+0,26 %−5,52 %−0,87 %+3,84 %−3,47 %−12,91 %
2022−0,17 %+0,00 %−0,81 %−1,47 %−0,13 %−4,26 %−2,14 %−0,69 %−0,50 %−0,41 %+2,30 %+2,79 %−5,52 %
2021−6,27 %−3,45 %−1,51 %+1,88 %+8,03 %−17,25 %−1,34 %−3,67 %−3,49 %+3,89 %−7,95 %+0,43 %−28,49 %
2020+10,44 %−12,63 %−23,71 %+3,69 %+14,35 %−0,73 %+58,80 %+8,09 %−4,30 %−2,21 %−0,13 %−0,06 %+38,90 %
2019+5,40 %−3,69 %−3,05 %−4,13 %−0,26 %+21,56 %+3,10 %+25,52 %−12,29 %+9,50 %−11,67 %+18,83 %+49,23 %
2018———————————+3,70 %+3,70 %

ABOUT THE MODEL

Gold Bug

Gold Bug focuses on metals and related markets: gold, silver, palladium, platinum, copper and GDX, an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that invests in major gold mining companies. The strategy follows trends and can take both long and short positions.

Investing in Gold Bug is therefore not a bet on higher gold prices. The model looks for opportunities in strong price trends in either direction. Falling gold prices need not be negative for Gold Bug and may instead provide opportunities.

The key is not the direction of metal prices but whether clear trends emerge. Sideways markets with frequent trend reversals are generally more challenging for the strategy.

A particular sector may go a long time without developing a clear trend. This is an important reason to spread trading across additional markets where trends may emerge at different times. Gold Bug can complement the broader Hot Commodities model, but it is not intended as a first and only choice.

Markets tradedGold, silver, palladium, platinum, GDX and copper
Technical connectionDupliTrade via AvaTrade
ManagerHenrik Hallenborg
Instrument typeCFD
Account currencyUSD / EUR / GBP
Track record begins30 November 2018
Result typeLive trading
PositionsLong and short
Trading approachTrend following
Account typeSegregated
Trading transparencyOpen and closed trades
Lock-up periodNone
Decision processSystematic 80% · Discretionary 20%